Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28.57
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.13
Polymarket Trader
1530
0x102cbec4508e5812c28c3e6b5b359f24df320d90
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.99
- Realized PnL
- $65.74
- Win rate
- 86.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $5.63
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $3.26
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.49
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.2
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 78% 5.63 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 92% 3.26 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 84% 3.57 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 85.9% 17.46 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 98.6% 23 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 85% 11.11 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 94.4% 10 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 84% 35.71 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 364 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 93.4% 364 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 332.98 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 98.7% 332.99 shares