investor-shaman

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $63.44
Potential payout: $77.85
Potential profit: $14.41
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.4

Morocco position

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $61.04
Potential payout: $75.83
Potential profit: $14.79
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $62.54
Potential payout: $75.8
Potential profit: $13.27
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $60.94
Potential payout: $74.78
Potential profit: $13.84
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.38

Under position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $61.05
Potential payout: $71.83
Potential profit: $10.77
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $65.61
Potential payout: $69.43
Potential profit: $3.82
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.35

Under position

Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.36
Potential profit: $68.36
User PnL: -$57.42

Netherlands position

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $61.04
Potential payout: $67.45
Potential profit: $6.41
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.34

Brazil position

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $62.72
Potential payout: $66.37
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $62.51
Potential payout: $65.97
Potential profit: $3.46
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.43

Morocco position

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $61.11
Potential payout: $65.36
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.72
Potential profit: $64.72
User PnL: -$55.18

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$46.2

Japan position

Spread: Brazil (-3.5)

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $30.15
Potential payout: $31.39
Potential profit: $1.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.08

Patins da Ferrari position

Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.98
Potential payout: $22.98
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.14

No position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $19.63
Potential payout: $21.46
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.34
Potential profit: $14.34
User PnL: -$11.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.29

YFT Esports position

Valorant: QoR vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.68

No position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.03

Under position

New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.04

No position

Bitcoin above 59,800 on June 25, 3PM ET?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

No position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.21

No position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.47

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

IR Iran position

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.83

South Africa position

Spread: Canada (-2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

No position

Ethereum above 1,580 on June 25, 3PM ET?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Uzbekistan position

Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

Under position

Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.04

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47

Under position

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

Australia position

Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.93

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87

Under position

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Under position

DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

No position

Ethereum above 1,600 on June 27, 2PM ET?