Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $12.59
- Potential payout
- $204.68
- Potential profit
- $192.09
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Polymarket Trader
PMBMC
0x10334387a497f45f000c414feec15c1fc2519db9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $965.2
- Realized PnL
- $130.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $139.33
- Potential payout
- $141.24
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $125.6
- Potential payout
- $127.12
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $124.94
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $76.09
- Potential profit
- $74.99
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$8.03
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $12.42
- Potential payout
- $66.04
- Potential profit
- $53.62
- Multiplier
- 5.32x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $61.7
- Potential payout
- $63.81
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $59.26
- Potential payout
- $59.29
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 U.S. Open?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $56
- Potential payout
- $56.23
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $55.01
- Potential payout
- $55.76
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $42.72
- Potential payout
- $48.05
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$3.36
No position
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 U.S. Open?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $42.68
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $39.78
- Potential payout
- $42.94
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $39.79
- Potential payout
- $41.6
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $40.31
- Potential payout
- $40.51
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.08
- Potential payout
- $40.1
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.06
N
No position
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Sweden?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $37.2
- Potential payout
- $38.01
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$33.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $29
- User PnL
- -$28.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.03
- Potential profit
- $25.03
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$23.76
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.17
Under position
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$17.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $14.72
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.86
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
No position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of April 27 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Top Esports Challenger position
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
No position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Nuclear TigeRES position
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 90% 10.44 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?No 89% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 21?No 93% 16 shares
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?No 94% 15 shares
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsPower Rangers 88% 4.18 shares
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Scotland 97.9% 11.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 20?No 89% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 21?No 93% 8 shares
- Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 Paraguay?No 98% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 21?No 99% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 20?No 98.9% 13.01 shares
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?No 99% 7 shares