Polymarket Trader

VortexBet

0x107f6c8c78c66f1d3a281cbf504e4c3c5562bb8c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.45K
Realized PnL: $1.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $3.2K
Potential payout: $16.2K
Potential profit: $13K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$4.9K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $13K
Potential payout: $16.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $4.9K

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $3.46K
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $254.4
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $64.09

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $4.64
User PnL: $17.51

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $66.63
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $27.56

No position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $969
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $676.2
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $23.8
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $679.47
Potential payout: $687.72
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $490.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $9.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.05

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $415.22
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $19.57
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $15.22

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $346
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $54
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $199.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $175
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3

No position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $97.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $94.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $70.77
Potential payout: $73.08
Potential profit: $2.3
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $29.87
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.26

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 96% 19.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Up 99% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Up 99% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Up 99% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Up 99% 22.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Down 10% 19.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Up 98% 19.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Down 99% 21.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Down 99% 21.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Down 99% 21.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Down 99% 16.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Down 99.8% 3.99 shares