Polymarket Trader

0x1086c08B94852A9a30480640DE87F35830F56b09-1772387911181

0x1086c08b94852a9a30480640de87f35830f56b09

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.64
Realized PnL: $18.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $6.91
Potential payout: $265.83
Potential profit: $258.92
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$4.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $9.28
Potential payout: $73.07
Potential profit: $63.79
Multiplier: 7.87x
User PnL: -$3.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.54
Potential profit: $28.54
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $13.39
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.45

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.07
Potential profit: $9.07
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.33
Potential profit: $5.33
User PnL: -$1.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.24
Potential profit: $2.24
User PnL: -$0.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $2.05
User PnL: -$0.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65
Potential profit: $1.65
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

No 67.2% 13.39 shares
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 68% 14.87 shares
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Yes 17.5% 73.07 shares
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

Yes 4.1% 265.83 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 95% 25.68 shares
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 57.3% 14.88 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 80% 10.12 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 74% 25.68 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 65% 30.3 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 79% 10.13 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 66% 10.98 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 66% 30.3 shares