Polymarket Trader

basedMG

0x108fc2640ccdf7adfb63fe167fddf4cd5d4fa423

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.33K
Realized PnL: $52.73
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $3.33K
Potential payout: $19.3K
Potential profit: $15.97K
Multiplier: 5.80x
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $79.37
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.09

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Up 99% 143.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Down 18% 22.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Up 69% 141.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Down 43.5% 22.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Down 75% 26.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Down 37.1% 26.24 shares
Warriors vs. Celtics

Warriors 6.3% 79.37 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?

Yes 47.9% 10.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 19,298.25 shares

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