Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $889
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $511
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$175
Polymarket Trader
shifeili4006
0x10a512b64e8bf0178bfb5e13331c13427530e468
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $889
- Realized PnL
- $38.1
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $236.39
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $50.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $6.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$422.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.3% 1,035.13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 45% 542.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 24% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 48% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 59% 1,686.99 shares
- Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 16?Yes 99.9% 476 shares
- Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 16?No 99.9% 426.84 shares
- Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 16?No 99.9% 191.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No 99.6% 1,085 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?No 93% 1,080 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 5?Yes 99.9% 1,005 shares