notbroken

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $34.26
Potential payout: $507.5
Potential profit: $473.24
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $34.26

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $263.13
Potential payout: $487.28
Potential profit: $224.15
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $123.21

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $298.51
Potential payout: $445.54
Potential profit: $147.03
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $138.12

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $300.4
Potential profit: $260.9
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $39.5

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $229.42
Potential payout: $299.9
Potential profit: $70.48
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $31.49

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $54.31
Potential payout: $275
Potential profit: $220.69
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $24.06

Yes position

Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $86.33
Potential payout: $233.34
Potential profit: $147
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $86.33

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $105
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $43

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $63.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $86.25
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$13.75

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $18.01
Potential payout: $70.63
Potential profit: $52.62
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $8.45
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $52.55
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $12.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.25
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $12.75

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $35.53
Potential payout: $40.6
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $35.53

Yes position

Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $28.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $11.8
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $28.2

Yes position

Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $23.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $16.8
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $23.2

Yes position

Will Memphis Depay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $16.24
Potential payout: $32.48
Potential profit: $16.24
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $16.24

Yes position

Will Nick Woltemade score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $20.7
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $9.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $553

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $422.72

No position

Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.7

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.17

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $196.65

No position

Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.22

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.54

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.43

No position

Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.44

No position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.34

Andrey Rublev position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.94

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.17

No position

Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.8

No position

Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.49

No position

Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.87

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.3

No position

Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.09

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.7

No position

Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.66

No position

Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.24

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.9

Tundra Esports position

Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.06

No position

Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?