Yes position
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.85K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $50
Polymarket Trader
5273853
0x10b289276b2b69cac7b1bbc58601009b6ee74ceb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.82K
- Realized PnL
- $12.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $73.61
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $4.39K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $40.91
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$14.51
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $114.42
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $14.42
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $207.25
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $57.25
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $106.12
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$43.88
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$107.25
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $107.04
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$42.96
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $113.28
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- $13.29
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $36.29
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$63.71
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $163.39
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- $63.4
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $172.1
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $22.1
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $60.96
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$8.11
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $33.83
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$17.21
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $64.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $935.5
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $63.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $982.5
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $16.14
- Potential payout
- $978.18
- Potential profit
- $962.04
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $165.72
- Potential payout
- $898.21
- Potential profit
- $732.49
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $15.72
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $120.44
- Potential payout
- $882.35
- Potential profit
- $761.91
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$29.56
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $19.53
- Potential payout
- $868
- Potential profit
- $848.47
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612.15
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $603.28
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $522.04
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.3
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.59
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.63
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.39
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.91
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.57
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.12
Barbora Palicova position
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicova
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.56
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.61
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.37
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.15
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.42
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.63
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $238.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 33% 4.77 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 34% 6.68 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 26% 1.71 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 7% 0.57 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 12% 15 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 12% 30 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 11% 15 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 12% 15 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 12% 15 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 11% 5.25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 32% 11.57 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 32% 17.14 shares