No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $911.59
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$224.56
Polymarket Trader
wackywu
@wakywu
0x10baa5e530fe99766598516f6fd856b22ac210b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.08K
- Realized PnL
- $2.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $127.19
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$32.64
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $190.44
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $35.52
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $171.81
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$22.41
No position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $753.1
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $461.58
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $23.95
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$38.17
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $711.29
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $391.49
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$41.3
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $989.5
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$219.5
Yes position
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $232.81
- Potential payout
- $990.7
- Potential profit
- $757.89
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$40.98
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $151.69
- Potential payout
- $808.99
- Potential profit
- $657.3
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $445.17
- Potential payout
- $627
- Potential profit
- $181.83
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $373.46
- Potential payout
- $579
- Potential profit
- $205.55
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $133.97
- Potential payout
- $461.97
- Potential profit
- $328
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $343.98
- Potential payout
- $441
- Potential profit
- $97.02
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $41.8
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $338.2
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$11.4
Yes position
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.3%
- Current value
- $200.28
- Potential payout
- $355.8
- Potential profit
- $155.52
- Multiplier
- 1.78x
- User PnL
- -$120.47
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $47.25
- Potential payout
- $337.5
- Potential profit
- $290.25
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $148.05
- Potential payout
- $329
- Potential profit
- $180.95
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $308.61
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$11.63
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $15.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $184.1
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $162.35
- Potential payout
- $191
- Potential profit
- $28.65
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $98.42
- Potential payout
- $148
- Potential profit
- $49.58
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $15.54
No position
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $76.88
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $47.12
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$18.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.32
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $93.68
No position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.35
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $51.8
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.31
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $49.36
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.16
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $27.59
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.74
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $26.57
Yes position
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $24.7
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.42
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $22.32
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $21.28
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $20.4
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $19.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $13.92
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $9.86
No position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 16% 129.5 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.9% 356.99 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 42.9% 185 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 18.9% 397.99 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 13% 208 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 42% 556 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 46% 490 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 46% 914 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 40% 185 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 46% 219.5 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 14% 159 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 14% 221 shares