Polymarket Trader

ShannonTorres7477

0x10bc74678e4486ec8a28fbd22f16de7d92360451

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $804.69
Realized PnL: $2.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Campbell Fighting Camels position

Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $437
Potential payout: $874
Potential profit: $437
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$314.64

Evansville Aces position

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $815
Potential profit: $815
User PnL: -$521.6

Yes position

Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395
Potential profit: $395
User PnL: -$323.9

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.9%
Current value: $214.98
Potential payout: $353
Potential profit: $138.02
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$75.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239
Potential profit: $239
User PnL: -$1.43

No position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.4%
Current value: $91.61
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $83.39
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $46.29

No position

Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $86
User PnL: -$63.64

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils position

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $83
User PnL: -$28.22

Yes position

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $59
User PnL: -$1.18

No position

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $37.84
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $9.17
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$27.06

Real Oviedo position

Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $16.06
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $2.95
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.94

No position

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24.9%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.51
Multiplier: 4.02x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$0.66

No position

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will 1600 to 1649 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $561.98

Yes position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $518.4

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.56

Yes position

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.32

Yes position

Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.38

No position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $169.87

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.03

Yes position

Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.62

No position

Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 9–12 years in prison?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.32

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.96

No position

Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.8

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.52

Yes position

Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.2

No position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.23

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $44.08

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.96

Yes position

Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.51

No position

Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.45

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.7

Yes position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.84

Yes position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $27.12

Yes position

Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.38

Yes position

Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.28

Yes position

Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

No 75% 216 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

No 74% 14 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

No 48% 230 shares
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 25.9% 175 shares
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?

No 92% 119 shares
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?

No 84% 119 shares
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 21% 16 shares
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?

No 60% 58 shares
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?

No 60% 498 shares
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?

No 62% 556 shares
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 80 and 90?

No 60% 263 shares
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 80 and 90?

No 83% 263 shares