No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $75.21
- Potential payout
- $169
- Potential profit
- $93.8
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Polymarket Trader
wef4by6e
0x10cbf85d49dc7908715324a2a2ed8f62484d92bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.94
- Realized PnL
- $17.22
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $43.08
- Potential payout
- $106
- Potential profit
- $62.92
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- -$26.88
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $32.65
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.64
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.43x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 66% 26 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.4% 33 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 66% 22 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 66% 58 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 95.5% 0.29 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 46% 95 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 46% 74 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No 76% 20 shares
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 88.9% 51 shares
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 93.7% 36.2 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No 89.9% 20 shares
- Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 82% 22 shares