Polymarket Trader

0x10Df1CF36653DA12CFF1F3725E12a7b4644e04A9-1740754053101

0x10df1cf36653da12cff1f3725e12a7b4644e04a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $198.59
Realized PnL: $5.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$166.75

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$300.14

No position

Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$478.49

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$11.38

Yes position

Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $870.67
Potential profit: $870.67
User PnL: -$257.45

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $814
Potential profit: $814
User PnL: -$63.49

Yes position

Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $806.57
Potential profit: $806.57
User PnL: -$334.8

Yes position

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$25.63

Yes position

Will Golden State Warriors receive the fourth overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492.2
Potential profit: $492.2
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.99
Potential profit: $384.99
User PnL: -$50.05

Dominican Rep. position

Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$99.33

Yes position

Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$39.73

Yes position

Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $277.83
Potential profit: $274.64
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$88.49

No position

Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267
Potential profit: $267
User PnL: -$33.06

Yes position

Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.44
Potential profit: $252.44
User PnL: -$151.46

Yes position

Will Dallas Mavericks receive the fourth overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $170.75
Potential payout: $172.91
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $134.44

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $24.65
Potential payout: $169.99
Potential profit: $145.34
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.19
Potential profit: $144.19
User PnL: -$7.21

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.59
Potential profit: $75.59
User PnL: -$48.61

Wright State Raiders position

Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.81
Potential profit: $37.81
User PnL: -$11.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

No position

Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $877.38

Yes position

Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502.22

No position

Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.41

Yes position

Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.66

Yes position

Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.71

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.25

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.99

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $175.91

No position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $169.37

Yes position

Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.17

Bears position

Packers vs. Bears

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.67

Yes position

Will SZA release a new song in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.99

No position

Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.91

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.55

No position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.38

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.84

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.17

No position

Will Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.02

No position

Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Rams position

Rams vs. Panthers

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Dallas Mavericks receive the fourth overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?

Yes 8% 250 shares
Will Golden State Warriors receive the fourth overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?

Yes 3% 500 shares
Rockets vs. Lakers

Lakers 48% 200 shares
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

No 49% 19.6 shares
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

No 49% 511 shares
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Yes 50% 0.9 shares
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Yes 49% 53 shares
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 7.8% 814 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Yes 2% 492.2 shares
Will AJ Brown be traded?

Yes 30% 20 shares
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 10% 60 shares
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 16.9% 80 shares