Polymarket Trader

0x10e58a06904C5b20a01902c4711171451724B7AA-1760601113754

0x10e58a06904c5b20a01902c4711171451724b7aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $232.96
Realized PnL: $7.92
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $37.04
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $580.25
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$12.96

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $18.89
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $203.33
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $7.86
Potential payout: $116.49
Potential profit: $108.63
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$12.14

No position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $79.11
Potential payout: $100.78
Potential profit: $21.67
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $9.19
Potential payout: $92.38
Potential profit: $83.19
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$3.65

Under position

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $18.42
Potential payout: $92.12
Potential profit: $73.7
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$2.76

No position

Will Vinicius Jr. score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $24.97
Potential payout: $71.34
Potential profit: $46.37
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 55.9%
Current value: $28.3
Potential payout: $50.66
Potential profit: $22.36
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $9.17
Potential payout: $12.07
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.72

No position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.1

Yes position

Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 56% 50.66 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Under 23% 92.12 shares
Will Vinicius Jr. score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 37% 71.34 shares
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 79% 12.07 shares
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Yes 17.2% 116.49 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

24.7% 79.31 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance AND Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

30.1% 81.33 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 9% 222.22 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 617.28 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 55% 152.47 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 71.85 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 46% 152.47 shares