Polymarket Trader

Icke74

0x10eb1ecb453b23ac6f65a42ccae4cdab549a0b07

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $143.28
Realized PnL: $13.78
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $143.28
Potential payout: $295.42
Potential profit: $152.14
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $33.28

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.63
Potential profit: $61.63
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.33
Potential profit: $24.33
User PnL: -$6.95

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.79
Potential profit: $23.79
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.74
Potential profit: $11.74
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.34
Potential profit: $10.34
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.18
Potential profit: $10.18
User PnL: -$4.35

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.87
Potential profit: $8.87
User PnL: -$6.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.97
Potential profit: $6.97
User PnL: -$5

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $6.01
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 83.8% 8.24 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 35% 1.54 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 46% 1.46 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 45% 1.17 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 84% 1.46 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 83% 1.54 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 82.8% 1.21 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 75.6% 2.65 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 85% 1.18 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 81.6% 1.23 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 68% 1.44 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares