Polymarket Trader

EmbraceChaos

0x10fa4a451915c1f76f24b147b901536083a2a4bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.69K
Realized PnL: $2.64K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
User PnL: -$994.32

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $2.68K
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $430.65
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$14.37

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.44K

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.7
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $489.3
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446.57
Potential profit: $446.57
User PnL: -$106.71

Yes position

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.51
Potential profit: $21.51
User PnL: -$2.58

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.07
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.35

No position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.76

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.77

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.14

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $135.45

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.49

No position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

No position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

No position

Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

No position

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 44.3% 1,000 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 31.3% 1,000 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 75% 5,000 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 32% 3,125 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

No 51% 3,000 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 1,500 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?

Yes 23.6% 127.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?

Yes 23.4% 196.57 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 33.8% 763.55 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

No 49% 5 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

No 42% 56 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

No 60% 44 shares