No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $20.29K
- Potential payout
- $20.61K
- Potential profit
- $319.4
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Polymarket Trader
Tbhidk-1767
0x10fc6c4395bc1690ee6b79a1f0e93a1a0b6b9606
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.29K
- Realized PnL
- $102.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.01K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.75K
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.21
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $922.56
Yes position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $912.51
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $816.45
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $787.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 61.5% 139.98 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 75% 59.99 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No 94% 39.13 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No 94% 240 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 81.3% 35 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 82.2% 24.99 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No 95.3% 297 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 21% 19.84 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 91 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 81% 20 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 100 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No 93.7% 500 shares