Polymarket Trader

rjm139

0x1106a10107b102625430b6e8bce01f1aaf70ffa0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.57
Realized PnL: -$33.94
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.56K
User PnL: -$99.99

Yes position

Will Tanille Johnson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Rob Ashton win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bianca Mugyenyi win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$22.11

Yes position

Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $995.49
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $543.41
Potential profit: $543.41
User PnL: -$15.34

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.07
Potential profit: $526.07
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$19.35

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $52.32
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $247.68
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $29.22

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.48
Potential profit: $65.48
User PnL: -$3.16

No position

Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.49
Potential profit: $52.49
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Heather McPherson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.73
Potential profit: $37.73
User PnL: -$1.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.24

Yes position

Will Tony McQuail win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 11.87 shares
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.3% 1,900 shares
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 1.2% 999.74 shares
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?

Yes 0.3% 66.21 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?

Yes 0.2% 99.98 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Yes 7% 100 shares
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?

Yes 4% 53.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Up 12% 82.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 50% 19.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Down 32% 30.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 99.9% 20.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 48% 20.46 shares