No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $88.77
- Potential payout
- $93.68
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Polymarket Trader
Murrat
@TheRigh30426883
0x111646be86b690561714182011e0b4c018e4e846
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $193.43
- Realized PnL
- $131.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $43.01
- Potential payout
- $44.34
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $33.47
- Potential payout
- $35.42
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $28.18
- Potential payout
- $28.23
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.74
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
S2G Esports position
LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Playoffs
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 97% 44.34 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No 99.9% 36.54 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 29, 2026?No 95% 93.68 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No 96% 35.42 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No 98.5% 36.55 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 28.23 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 97.2% 110.05 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?Yes 97.7% 22.52 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?Yes 93% 19.35 shares
- Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 97.6% 25.69 shares
- GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 85.1% 16.12 shares
- Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?No 96% 16.67 shares