Polymarket Trader

0x112D04c1a0AEa6A6597C9376771456264CB2a0EA-1762262320318

@emontig

0x112d04c1a0aea6a6597c9376771456264cb2a0ea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $205.31
Realized PnL: $136.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $154.9
Potential payout: $413.06
Potential profit: $258.16
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $126.9

Yes position

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $51.67
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$6.11

Yes position

Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $6.67
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $48.89
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $1.67

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $7.81
Potential payout: $17.55
Potential profit: $9.74
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $12.46
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $4.49
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $11.14
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $8.7
Potential profit: $7.52
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $5.98
Multiplier: 5.46x
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $5.57
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $5.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 1-7?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Yes position

Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.84

90k position

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?

No 96.1% 10.61 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?

Yes 7.8% 63.92 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 9% 50 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?

Yes 5.8% 224.14 shares
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?

Yes 0.1% 41.3 shares
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?

Yes 45.5% 26.89 shares
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?

Yes 48.2% 10.37 shares
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?

Yes 14.1% 36.23 shares
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?

Yes 70% 7.14 shares
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 59% 16.95 shares