No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $7.81
- Potential payout
- $35.52
- Potential profit
- $27.7
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Polymarket Trader
0x11663aa87A314847aF80b877EB240F8a54bd60d0-1762699373711
0x11663aa87a314847af80b877eb240f8a54bd60d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.81
- Realized PnL
- -$227.1
- Win rate
- 41.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.27
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.5
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1PM ET
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6PM ET
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9AM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.96
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.76
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2PM ET
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$49.5
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$359.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 28.2% 35.52 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 9% 450 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 20% 450 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes 14.3% 636.14 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes 70.7% 636.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.7% 459.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 72% 459.46 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 11% 181.82 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No 58% 86.97 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No 76% 65.79 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No 96.7% 102.02 shares