Polymarket Trader

Wise4414

0x116f92a4906de29e8f8b8ee5a9515a78e8556fad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $281.62
Realized PnL: -$157.6
Win rate: 13%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $31.25
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $4.14K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$18.75

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $18.06
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.76K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6.94

Yes position

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $19.32
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$5.68

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$71.05

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $65.99
Potential payout: $412.42
Potential profit: $346.43
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$74.01

No position

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $137.02
Potential payout: $154.83
Potential profit: $17.81
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $35.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.02

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.86

Yes position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.47

Yes position

Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.64

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.61

Yes position

Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$18.96

Yes position

Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.52

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30.42

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.4

Yes position

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.35

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.42

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$208.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 4.9% 735.78 shares
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 0.9% 4,233.44 shares
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

No 65.6% 154.83 shares
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 5.6% 800.65 shares
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 1.3% 384.62 shares
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.1% 2,272.73 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.9% 2,777.78 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 33.8% 118.3 shares
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 1.3% 3,848.83 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 34% 294.12 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 14.1% 1,064.06 shares
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.2% 4,166.67 shares