Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $399.16
- Potential payout
- $6.14K
- Potential profit
- $5.74K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$300.77
Polymarket Trader
0x11786A50b3E1886390909F39C4Fef8ac2D7cD3fA-1762190476236
0x11786a50b3e1886390909f39c4fef8ac2d7cd3fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $461.33
- Realized PnL
- -$1.59K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.93K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- User PnL
- -$600.5
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$108
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Nine-Darter at the PDC World Darts Championship?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $117.78
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $59.94
- Potential payout
- $59.94
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $16.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.56
Yes position
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.42
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$396.78
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$400.8
Yes position
Will the US strike Yemen next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$904.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?No 72% 59.94 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes 1.3% 3,241.65 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Yes 1.4% 3,932.78 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes 3.4% 588.24 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 2,307.69 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes 3.5% 195.3 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 8% 1,250 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 12% 833.33 shares
- U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes 1.4% 1,071.43 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 18% 555.56 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes 4.3% 2,326.71 shares