Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $918.67
- Potential profit
- $918.67
- User PnL
- -$81.38
Polymarket Trader
MatthewHor
0x1180054a106fee8b99e2fbedffbc1335947f13ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.48
- Realized PnL
- $105.04
- Win rate
- 73.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $806.47
- Potential profit
- $806.47
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $704.18
- Potential profit
- $704.18
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $25.44
- Potential payout
- $613.09
- Potential profit
- $587.64
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$51.56
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $43.93
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $170.36
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $24.11
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $154.46
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.41
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92
Yes position
Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Rob Ashton win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$9.12
Yes position
Canada recession before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$114.89
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$190.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 21% 119.05 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 14% 107.14 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Yes 3.6% 704.18 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 6.9% 144.93 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 5.4% 92.51 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 5.5% 90.91 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 6.3% 478.12 shares
- Canada recession before 2027?Yes 11.8% 381.37 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 57.5% 179.1 shares