Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
HARDY13431
0x118ba199c8e8dc66ff226a3d01a70c3fdb7d38c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.77
- Realized PnL
- $457.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $940.6
- Potential profit
- $940.6
- User PnL
- -$13.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $475.05
- Potential profit
- $475.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.85
- Potential profit
- $174.85
- User PnL
- -$104
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.53
- Potential profit
- $160.53
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.06
- Potential profit
- $146.06
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.16
- Potential profit
- $126.16
- User PnL
- -$28.99
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.61
- Potential profit
- $105.61
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.87
- Potential profit
- $92.87
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.08
- Potential profit
- $85.08
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.24
- Potential profit
- $73.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.62
- Potential profit
- $63.62
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.52
- Potential profit
- $53.52
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.04
- Potential profit
- $50.04
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.47
- Potential profit
- $46.47
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.97
- Potential profit
- $41.97
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.7
- Potential profit
- $33.7
- User PnL
- -$12.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.01
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.01
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $31
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $28.77
- Potential payout
- $29.34
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $18.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.05
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp 54% 0.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?Yes 5.7% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?Yes 94% 3.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?Yes 85% 3.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?Yes 30% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?Yes 41% 27.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?Yes 45% 2.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?Yes 21.3% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?Yes 28% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?Yes 51% 3.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?Yes 50% 4 shares