Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $13.25
- Potential profit
- $13.24
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Polymarket Trader
sobra
0x118f84b55e2270e000038a92f3e3fac764df2d39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.98
- Realized PnL
- $114.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $14.05
No position
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.35
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
No position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.96
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-12-07?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
No position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Nuggets position
Clippers vs. Nuggets
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Arthur Fery position
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 14.6% 6.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 10?Yes 7.5% 13.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?Yes 23% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?Yes 37% 10 shares
- Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch?No 86% 5 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 55% 5 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 55% 10 shares
- Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?No 58% 5 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 35% 5 shares
- Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Yes 44% 0.6 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 48% 5 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?Yes 96% 1.82 shares