Polymarket Trader

qmmar

0x1191fabce7781f4179ddd3c205ad665cba79c092

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.17K
Realized PnL: $51.98K
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.27K
Potential profit: $221.27K
User PnL: -$30.65K

No position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69K
Potential profit: $7.69K
User PnL: -$2.27K

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $7.17K
Potential payout: $7.48K
Potential profit: $310.39
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $215.06

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $4.7K
User PnL: -$129.99

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$214.99

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$509.4

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.26
Potential profit: $219.26
User PnL: -$97.77

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.05
Potential profit: $162.05
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $148.73
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$27.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.15K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.93K

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44K

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.9

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.53

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.82

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$21.5

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$410.76

No position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$691.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?

Yes 44.6% 224.26 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 24% 200 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 93.5% 1,999.99 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 93.7% 2,734.81 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 93.6% 1,144.52 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 90.7% 500 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 90.6% 1,100 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

Yes 19% 150 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 7.2% 215.52 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 7.1% 592.74 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 5.2% 500 shares