Polymarket Trader

jfbmrsx

0x11a003fb6caa429b64e7eabab9a000ba78d389eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $194.13
Realized PnL: $696.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Over position

Lightning vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.24K
Potential profit: $4.24K
User PnL: -$1.95K

76ers position

76ers vs. Bulls

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.56K
User PnL: -$1.26K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $194.13
Potential payout: $205.43
Potential profit: $11.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.03

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.27
Potential profit: $103.27
User PnL: -$74.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Louisville vs. Miami: O/U 51.5

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.79

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.86

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Clippers

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 59.9% 11.35 shares
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

No 99.9% 124.77 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 93% 21.51 shares
76ers vs. Bulls

76ers 49% 2,563.35 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 97.3% 103.14 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 95% 15.48 shares
Lightning vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5

Over 46% 4,240.31 shares
Louisville vs. Miami: O/U 51.5

Under 54% 1,302.44 shares
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?

No 98.7% 37.09 shares
Will Solana dip to $150 in September?

No 99.6% 12.05 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

No 98% 24.56 shares
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?

Yes 99.5% 36.07 shares