Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $215.31
- Potential payout
- $8.13K
- Potential profit
- $7.91K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $85.31
Polymarket Trader
laissezfaire
0x11a7ee425989d14339283a8badb19eadb22a7f1e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.48K
- Realized PnL
- $2.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $404.59
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.1K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$195.41
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $171.05
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $71.06
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $481.76
- Potential payout
- $3.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.05K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$118.23
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- User PnL
- -$900
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Spain snap election called in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $578.09
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $427.28
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$121.91
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $901.77
- Potential payout
- $974.89
- Potential profit
- $73.12
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $430.21
- Potential payout
- $905.7
- Potential profit
- $475.49
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$169.79
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $398.87
- Potential payout
- $455.85
- Potential profit
- $56.98
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $320.63
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $54.38
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $20.63
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $307.19
- Potential payout
- $317.84
- Potential profit
- $10.65
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $292.86
- Potential profit
- $292.86
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $226.32
- Potential payout
- $261.64
- Potential profit
- $35.32
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $113.81
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $197.61
- Potential payout
- $220.67
- Potential profit
- $23.06
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $107.86
- Potential payout
- $115.36
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $105.45
- Potential payout
- $115.24
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $111.61
- Potential payout
- $113.95
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $107.08
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7.08
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $101.67
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $9.44
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $101.26
- Potential payout
- $109.17
- Potential profit
- $7.91
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $101.42
- Potential payout
- $105.49
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $105.02
- Potential payout
- $105.28
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $5.02
Yes position
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $6.73
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $29.64
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$13.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Carlos Alcaraz position
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $850.3
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.43
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.93
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.64
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.59
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.83
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.14
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.56
No position
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.17
No position
Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.85
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.86
No position
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.32
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.99
No position
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.57
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.09
No position
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.54
No position
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.56
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05
No position
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.59
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.15
Carlos Alcaraz position
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Carlos Alcaraz position
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63% 317.46 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 5,263.16 shares
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?Yes 16% 1,250 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 20% 150 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 6,250 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 1,875 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 21% 142.86 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 5,504.59 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 3,529.41 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Yes 38% 210.53 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 69% 289.86 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 99% 1,429.29 shares