No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $99.87
- Potential payout
- $100.17
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Polymarket Trader
sludgelife
0x11b9d90b226e29d29b2cb52f82e30452ee8fd361
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $721.56
- Realized PnL
- $686.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.8
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $59.66
- Potential payout
- $61.22
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $39.05
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $10.95
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $35.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $14.25
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $35.76
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$7.76
No position
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $26.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $23.25
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $22.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $27.75
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $40.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $41.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $46.96
- Potential payout
- $47.82
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Current value
- $34.79
- Potential payout
- $42.15
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $40.55
- Potential payout
- $41.64
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $24.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $26.63
- Potential payout
- $36.99
- Potential profit
- $10.36
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$3.32
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $36.39
- Potential payout
- $36.5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Dreamcash FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $16.24
- Potential payout
- $29.8
- Potential profit
- $13.56
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
No position
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $16.15
- Potential payout
- $28.84
- Potential profit
- $12.69
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $28.59
- Potential profit
- $3.52
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $10.64
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $22.8
- Potential payout
- $25.05
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $21.38
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$7.18
No position
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $23.92
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $18.05
- Potential payout
- $23.59
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $28.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.04
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $15.51
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.69
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
No position
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $72 on the final trading day of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $76 on the final trading day of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Yes position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hurupay launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 80% 9 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?No 71% 52.5 shares
- Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?No 85% 11.7 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No 45.4% 50 shares
- Tread FDV above $400M one day after launchNo 97.9% 10.19 shares
- GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 99.9% 15.8 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 96.8% 10.3 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 96% 10.4 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 96% 10.4 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 96% 10.4 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 96% 10.4 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 96% 10.4 shares