No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Polymarket Trader
Pearce28
0x11bfcf6ae21dfb8815bb13057bdbf5930b367374
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $5.71
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4400 and $4500 on August 25?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4400 and $4500 on August 25?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon tweet 575–599 times August 15–August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 67% 16 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 67% 46 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 92% 30 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 92% 30 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.5% 35 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 47% 60 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6% 17.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 72% 38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 76% 38 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 29 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 29 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 3.8% 74 shares