Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $512.46
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$106.93
Polymarket Trader
Mld
0x11d33c460ba8f7913eb79effed27279dceda7471
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.56K
- Realized PnL
- $3.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $392.91
- Potential payout
- $982.28
- Potential profit
- $589.37
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$135.7
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $344.25
- Potential payout
- $905.92
- Potential profit
- $561.67
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$307.2
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $664.85
- Potential payout
- $759.83
- Potential profit
- $94.98
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $118.8
- Potential payout
- $599.98
- Potential profit
- $481.19
- Multiplier
- 5.05x
- User PnL
- -$219.99
Yes position
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.95
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$20.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $980
Yes position
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.43
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.93
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266
Yes position
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.01
No position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The Netherlands by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.2
No position
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.5
No position
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.25
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.35
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.14
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $49.25
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34
Usyk position
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.59
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.58
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.14
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.65
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Owlto FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Owlto FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 86% 1,326.83 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 97% 455 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 9.2% 2,006.83 shares
- Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?No 14.1% 1,632.88 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 15% 400 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 12% 1,000 shares
- Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?No 98.9% 500 shares
- Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?Yes 98.7% 2,039.41 shares
- Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The Netherlands by Feburary 1?No 76% 300 shares
- Owlto FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 99.8% 1,035.74 shares
- Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 82% 200 shares
- Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 81% 180 shares