Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or below on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Polymarket Trader
toomanyrobin
0x11d35cbd2f54d52ba904782b9e376dfdeb09e829
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $249.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $410
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.83
- Potential profit
- $110.83
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$0.34
New Zealand position
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 5)
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.03
- Potential profit
- $17.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.21
- Potential profit
- $8.21
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.34
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $5.18
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.56
- Potential profit
- $3.56
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or below on June 14?Yes 0.1% 1,300 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 11?Yes 1% 99.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?Yes 86.4% 142.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 3?No 99% 125.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 3?No 99% 125.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?No 0.4% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 1% 90 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp 89% 27.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp 91.1% 27.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?No 99% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?Yes 21% 5.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?Yes 40% 7.86 shares