Polymarket Trader

AbillyW

0x11d4a602cd89290373eda4673f9995cf7ced406f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $402.48
Realized PnL: $343.39
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$238

No position

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $294.9
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $5.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $12.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.96
Potential profit: $299.96
User PnL: -$230.36

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $56.98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $143.02
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$17.02

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$122

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $184.7
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$20.7

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.7
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $189.5
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $190
User PnL: -$155.8

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $86.49
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$14.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $161.2

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.9

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.7

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $21.6

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 54% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 48% 100 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?

No 81% 185.19 shares
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Yes 7% 100 shares
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 4.8% 200 shares
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

No 76% 100 shares
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 37% 200 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 26% 120 shares
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 69% 200 shares
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

Ecuador 6% 149.25 shares
Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Japan 34.4% 290.55 shares