Polymarket Trader

BlueOrchid

0x11e50ec01d48adc0be2292cb8e2a5fee0369ee4d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5K
Realized PnL: $292.03K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19M
Potential profit: $1.19M
User PnL: -$158.22K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $878.87K
Potential profit: $878.87K
User PnL: -$4.69K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.05K
Potential payout: $870.65K
Potential profit: $867.6K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$201.42K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $514.41K
Potential profit: $514.41K
User PnL: -$2.73K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $496.2K
Potential profit: $496.2K
User PnL: -$41.25K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.48K
Potential profit: $422.48K
User PnL: -$56.25K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.56K
Potential profit: $414.56K
User PnL: -$2.74K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.35K
Potential profit: $277.35K
User PnL: -$2.34K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.74K
Potential profit: $251.74K
User PnL: -$56.38K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.31K
Potential profit: $133.31K
User PnL: -$2.58K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$19K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$3.65K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.56K
Potential profit: $92.56K
User PnL: -$1.46K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$3.6K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.9K
Potential profit: $36.9K
User PnL: -$885.61

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.82K
Potential profit: $35.82K
User PnL: -$76.76

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.95K
Potential profit: $33.95K
User PnL: -$469.44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.51K
Potential profit: $30.51K
User PnL: -$538.8

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.39K
Potential profit: $30.39K
User PnL: -$16.69K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $20.6K
Potential profit: $18.64K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$8.3K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.84K
Potential profit: $14.84K
User PnL: -$1.78K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.99K
Potential profit: $7.99K
User PnL: -$79.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.53K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.64K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.92K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.12K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.72K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74K

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.37K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 13% 34,909.74 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 0.7% 174,222.67 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 10.8% 7,679.82 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 10% 47.01 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 10.6% 87,038.14 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 7% 7,022.85 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Yes 8% 11,429.2 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Yes 9% 34.14 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Yes 9% 158,625.38 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 22% 66,400.67 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 16% 14,287.55 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 14% 52,235.17 shares