No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.5K
- User PnL
- -$525.72
Polymarket Trader
johnnyA
@pmTraderJohnnyA
0x11f3c56d0583665247e5a494e8f7709c759ed859
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.3K
- Realized PnL
- $15.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.08K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- User PnL
- -$2.39K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $48.59
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.03
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $148.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $132.28
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $2.03K
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $73.7
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $232.3
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- User PnL
- $89.6
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- $52.47
No position
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $20.92
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $23.52
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $382.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $155.84
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $29.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$6.38
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $68.12
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$36.09
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $711.25
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $350.31
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $29.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $974.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $236.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $549
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $73.25
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $47.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $452.25
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$17.25
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $442.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $57.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $495.25
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $282.44
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $217.55
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $7.45
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $48.88
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $23.18
No position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $49.3
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Trump re-sues WSJ by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$17.4
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$23.1
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $20.02
- Potential profit
- $17.12
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.31
No position
Will Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $15.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Mary Kate Cornett statement by Friday?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $982.83
Yes position
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $912.64
No position
NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $813.54
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.46
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $643.4
Yes position
Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $585.76
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $578.38
Yes position
Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.23
No position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $557.5
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.18
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.2
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.39
No position
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $475.58
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.49
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.13
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.33
No position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $403.18
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $386.08
No position
Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.32
No position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.86
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 499.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 75% 500 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 69% 450 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 76% 500 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 38.6% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 59.9% 300 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 50.8% 100 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?No 96.9% 2,152.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 59.3% 1,746.53 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 58.3% 876.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 58% 1,414.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No 94.9% 770.84 shares