Polymarket Trader

cabbala

0x11f864798150a6749b94570fe065c27e8bd91c4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2K
Realized PnL: $2.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $43.86
Potential payout: $516
Potential profit: $472.14
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$31.87

Yes position

Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $151.36
Potential payout: $496.26
Potential profit: $344.9
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$35.17

Yes position

Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $29.78
Potential payout: $397
Potential profit: $367.23
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$28.8

No position

Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $373.98
Potential payout: $382
Potential profit: $8.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.93

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.6%
Current value: $223.84
Potential payout: $300.06
Potential profit: $76.22
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $276
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $235.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $64.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $101.84
Potential payout: $268
Potential profit: $166.16
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $17.53

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 75.9%
Current value: $197.42
Potential payout: $260.1
Potential profit: $62.68
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $13.73

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.4%
Current value: $60.23
Potential payout: $237.13
Potential profit: $176.9
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: $22.99

Yes position

Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $14.04
Potential payout: $216
Potential profit: $201.96
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$9.24

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $27.86
Potential payout: $199
Potential profit: $171.14
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $28.28
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $166.73
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$8.77

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $23.51
Potential payout: $188.05
Potential profit: $164.55
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $161.44
Potential payout: $187.72
Potential profit: $26.28
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.51

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $94.29
Potential payout: $183.09
Potential profit: $88.8
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $43.53
Potential payout: $161.22
Potential profit: $117.69
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $9.67

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $49.12
Potential payout: $138.36
Potential profit: $89.24
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $7.61

Yes position

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $121
Potential profit: $117.67
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$2.72

Yes position

Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $106.78
Potential profit: $105.66
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$13.83

Yes position

ByteDance IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $72.62
Potential payout: $85.43
Potential profit: $12.81
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.2%
Current value: $24.36
Potential payout: $83.41
Potential profit: $59.05
Multiplier: 3.42x
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $9.43
Potential payout: $78.56
Potential profit: $69.14
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$8.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $219.41

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.76

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.38

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.56

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $127.99

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.45

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.34

Yes position

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $112.93

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $109.04

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.76

Yes position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.6

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.32

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.16

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.64

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $85.5

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $80.36

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.09

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $67.92

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.6%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $66.92

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.19

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.89

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.27

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $60.89

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 66% 5 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

No 27.1% 6.01 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

No 87% 33 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 22.2% 17.8 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 1.2% 11 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 2% 128 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 1% 39 shares
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 22% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 69% 10 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Yes 38% 88 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

No 71.1% 7.15 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

No 71.1% 15 shares