Polymarket Trader

WinStable

0x120199a43d79ef002457897536d537cd73c2005b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.53
Realized PnL: $10.34
Win rate: 73.7%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $316.79
Potential profit: $310.29
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $298.31
Potential profit: $295.33
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $272.15
Potential profit: $271.2
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $257.15
Potential profit: $256.25
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $170.64
Potential profit: $169.27
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $109.74
Potential profit: $105.9
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $6.44
Potential payout: $64.39
Potential profit: $57.95
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $4.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $48.08
Potential profit: $47.48
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $43.78
Potential profit: $42.42
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $43.47
Potential profit: $43.27
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $42.58
Potential profit: $40.23
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $39.77
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.02
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $26.01
Potential profit: $25.84
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $23.01
Potential profit: $22.1
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $22.04
Potential profit: $17.96
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $14.96
Potential profit: $14.9
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $4.51
Potential payout: $9.6
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $8.45
Potential profit: $4.82
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $7.03
Potential profit: $6.74
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 25.8%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $4.68
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: $0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?

Yes 3% 13.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?

Yes 22% 5.23 shares