No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $2.1K
- Potential payout
- $3.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $115.86
Polymarket Trader
dhbw1
0x1206cec7aa15c192381f32f70292a1ef1e231362
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.7K
- Realized PnL
- $5.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$445.48
Yes position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $638.03
- Potential payout
- $886.15
- Potential profit
- $248.12
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $142.35
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $49.72
- Potential payout
- $662.91
- Potential profit
- $613.19
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$29
No position
Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $556.38
- Potential payout
- $566
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $103.58
No position
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $491.6
- Potential profit
- $408.03
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$63.32
Yes position
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $75.73
- Potential payout
- $432.75
- Potential profit
- $357.02
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$124.71
Yes position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $27.83
- Potential payout
- $421.61
- Potential profit
- $393.78
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $299.2
- Potential payout
- $354.08
- Potential profit
- $54.88
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $75.68
No position
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $304.49
- Potential payout
- $352.01
- Potential profit
- $47.52
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $22.23
Yes position
Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $9.76
- Potential payout
- $314.78
- Potential profit
- $305.02
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$21.42
Yes position
Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $303.55
- Potential profit
- $303.4
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$69.89
Yes position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $153.54
- Potential payout
- $298.14
- Potential profit
- $144.6
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $47.59
No position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $31.6
- Potential payout
- $287.26
- Potential profit
- $255.66
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$53.73
No position
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $266.43
- Potential payout
- $274.11
- Potential profit
- $7.68
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $30.13
Yes position
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $205.92
- Potential payout
- $267.43
- Potential profit
- $61.51
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $91.98
- Potential payout
- $224.34
- Potential profit
- $132.36
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $26.97
Yes position
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $212.9
- Potential profit
- $212.79
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $162.09
- Potential payout
- $210.5
- Potential profit
- $48.41
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $41.25
No position
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $182.45
- Potential payout
- $182.54
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $17.71
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $154.73
- Potential payout
- $176.53
- Potential profit
- $21.8
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $142.55
No position
Will Sam McCown be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $158.53
- Potential payout
- $173.83
- Potential profit
- $15.3
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$9.32
No position
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $135.7
- Potential payout
- $160.6
- Potential profit
- $24.89
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $10.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $983.89
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.57
Yes position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.8
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.94
No position
Will Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.21
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $204.1
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.85
Yes position
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.08
No position
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.89
No position
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.01
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.69
No position
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.82
No position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.28
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.88
Yes position
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.45
No position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $55.32
No position
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.12
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.74
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.35
No position
Blue wave in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $36.73
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes 26.1% 34 shares
- Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes 35.2% 125 shares
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No 67% 14 shares
- Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Yes 0.4% 813 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes 68% 115 shares
- Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 0.1% 755 shares
- Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?No 99.1% 28 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 59% 1,166.66 shares
- Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No 98% 27 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 60% 1,166.67 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in June?No 90% 314 shares
- Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?Yes 80% 20 shares