0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.09K
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $238.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $93.96

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.82K
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $265.22
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $77.23

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $3.81K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $188
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $132

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $3.86K
Potential profit: $212.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $85.32

No position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $3.2K
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $316.17
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $75.14

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $3.2K
Potential payout: $3.32K
Potential profit: $122.9
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $179.9

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.83K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $262.84
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $80.55

No position

Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.74K
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $15.17
User PnL: $187.79

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.54K
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $176.49
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $40.73

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.56K
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $120.51
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $126.39

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-12 House seat?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $141.66
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $64.39

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $152.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $35.15

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $114.36
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $31.19

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-29 House seat?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $107.01
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $84.54

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $75.14
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $108.13

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-07 House seat?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $100.21
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $27.33

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-30 House seat?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.66K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $96.64
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $50.37

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the GA-05 House seat?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $114.02
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $43.85

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $113.9
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $61.33

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $111
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $93.92

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-12 House seat?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $107.52
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $41.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

No position

Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605.52

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $570

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.12

Yes position

Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 special election?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.63

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.26

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

No position

Will Erik Lutz advance from the CA-38 primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.87

No position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.04

No position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.3

Yes position

Will Austin Scott be the Republican nominee for GA-08?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.07

Yes position

Will Jimmy Panetta advance from the CA-19 primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.14

No position

Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.21

No position

Will Rory Hoskins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.08

No position

Will Richard Boykin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.14

No position

Dogecoin all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

No position

Will Daniel Miller advance from the CA-26 primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.63

No position

Will Anabel Mendoza be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.36

No position

Will Joey Ruzevich be the Democratic Nominee for IL-06?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.39

No position

Will Yumeka Brown be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.83

No position

Will David Ehrlich be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.44

No position

Will Anthony Driver Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.11

No position

Will Reed Showalter be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?