Polymarket Trader

Barney-Gambler

0x1210490abd1dc449be05662c0461c73ff6e753c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $229.41
Realized PnL: $176.6
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $147.58
Potential payout: $7.98K
Potential profit: $7.83K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$157.24

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $81.83
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $4.34K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$200.3

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $430
Potential profit: $430
User PnL: -$352.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$109.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.46

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.2%
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $29.7

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.82

Yes position

Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.19

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.31

Yes position

Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 1,500 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.5% 150 shares
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

Yes 70.7% 141.49 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 82% 300 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Down 99% 19.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Down 74% 19.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Down 99% 98.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Down 61% 97.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Up 45% 99.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Up 24% 98.34 shares
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Yes 0.1% 1,615.19 shares
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Yes 0.8% 45 shares