No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $299.25
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $11.55
Polymarket Trader
wYT
0x12197e6fda778c3498578310259fec1dabc46e96
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $575.98
- Realized PnL
- $146.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $112.33
- Potential payout
- $119.82
- Potential profit
- $7.49
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $64.4
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Trump announce tariffs on Russia on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
China-EU trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?
Ends Apr 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will the Baglihar Dam be hit in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 84% 70 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 90.5% 119.82 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 95.9% 300 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.4% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 86% 100 shares
- Xi Jinping out before October?No 96.5% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No 80% 30 shares
- Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?No 71% 20 shares
- Will the Baglihar Dam be hit in May?No 92% 30 shares
- Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?Yes 60% 10 shares
- Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?Yes 86% 30 shares
- US military action on Yemen before June?No 90% 20 shares