Yes position
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $69.9K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$124.88
Polymarket Trader
NIKEa
0x1229233bad2fd7462955c6383448904b5432df38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.85K
- Realized PnL
- $6.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.82K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $18.67K
- Potential payout
- $38.5K
- Potential profit
- $19.83K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$732.75
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $407.66
- Potential payout
- $20.91K
- Potential profit
- $20.5K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $91.82
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $165.01
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.84K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $79.24
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.58K
- Potential payout
- $6.49K
- Potential profit
- $908.66
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $547.82
No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.67K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $24.02
- User PnL
- $56.7
No position
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.27K
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $21.38
- User PnL
- $71.21
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $18.29
- User PnL
- $200.75
No position
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $654.91
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$92.19
No position
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.78K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $15.28
- User PnL
- $31.83
No position
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $13.84
- User PnL
- $52.66
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $203.34
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $104.04
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $115.95
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $69.28
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $130.96
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $79.35
No position
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $105.24
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $58.08
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $30.74
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $210.49
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $60.39
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $297.64
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $842.74
- Multiplier
- 3.83x
- User PnL
- $52.3
No position
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $29.95
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.44
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $885
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $115
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $992.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $26.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $973.5
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $976.5
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.16x
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $981.81
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $857.14
No position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.81
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.84
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $244.91
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.39
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $231.14
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $210.98
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.22
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $116.64
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $115.31
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $112.35
Yes position
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.52
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.34
Yes position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.46
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.86
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.34
Yes position
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.17
Yes position
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.71
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $52.8
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.2
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $39.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Yes 73% 100 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Yes 74% 100 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes 42% 20 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?No 98.4% 297.27 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?No 98.5% 42.72 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.9% 770.5 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.4% 90.6 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 30% 5 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2% 848 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Yes 75% 16.66 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Yes 76% 28.76 shares
- Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes 10.7% 100 shares