Polymarket Trader

chancey

0x122ad1d96a43ecef663ac41e0fe27aad69800974

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $935.89
Realized PnL: $74.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $346.24
Potential payout: $430.11
Potential profit: $83.87
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$53.76

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $334.5
Potential payout: $373.75
Potential profit: $39.24
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $39.24

No position

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $255.15
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $14.85
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump abolishes the Federal Income Tax in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.26

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.23

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US recession by end of 2026?

No 79% 373.75 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 93% 430.11 shares
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

No 94% 270 shares
Trump out as President by March 31?

No 97.2% 700 shares
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

No 97% 429.1 shares
Trump abolishes the Federal Income Tax in 2025?

No 95% 505.13 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

No 96.1% 416.23 shares

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