No position
Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $345.98
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Polymarket Trader
grutifer
0x12315d8f7652cb599f58eea84141ff8b30283e32
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $941.21
- Realized PnL
- -$20.03
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $180.28
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $4.72
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $144.64
- Potential payout
- $146.1
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $119.7
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $49.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $49.63
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $42.25
- Potential payout
- $42.36
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.84
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.66
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7.62
- Potential payout
- $7.65
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.01
No position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
No position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$55.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?Yes 97% 50 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?Yes 97% 25 shares
- Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?No 98% 270 shares
- Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?No 97.9% 30 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 80 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes 24.2% 80 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes 51% 120 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?No 98.5% 30 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?No 98.3% 20 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?No 98.3% 20 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?No 98.3% 20 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?No 98.3% 20 shares