Polymarket Trader

zion1

0x1232fbda9495419f26d0f4406d53dcfd70a56984

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $618.45
Realized PnL: -$107.21
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $105.95
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$144.05

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $94.47
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $431.84
Multiplier: 5.57x
User PnL: -$5.53

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $98.85
Potential payout: $458.72
Potential profit: $359.86
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $49.84
Potential payout: $359.82
Potential profit: $309.99
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $148.6
Potential payout: $263.06
Potential profit: $114.46
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $48.6

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 27.9%
Current value: $71.78
Potential payout: $257.73
Potential profit: $185.95
Multiplier: 3.59x
User PnL: $46.78

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.67
Potential profit: $201.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 41.1%
Current value: $48.95
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $70.1
Multiplier: 2.43x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.63
Potential profit: $53.63
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.9

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.76

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$8.38

Yes position

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $620b on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 13.9% 359.82 shares
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?

No 38% 263.06 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 42% 119.05 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.8% 458.72 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Yes 96.5% 526.31 shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 56.81 shares
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?

Yes 10% 250 shares
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

Yes 2.7% 912.33 shares
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?

Yes 2% 1,262.45 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 25% 80 shares
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Yes 23% 173.91 shares