Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $4.83K
- Potential profit
- $4.82K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$282.41
Polymarket Trader
0x2b91f33fE7E2C47eB64BAD8787F7908d907c024D-1773183077686
0x123431dfba9512a9073db4eaf176d2326a08c1bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.25K
- Realized PnL
- $7.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $55.86
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$13.3
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $512.95
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $815.94
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $499.35
- Potential payout
- $811.95
- Potential profit
- $312.6
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$83.3
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $590.54
- Potential payout
- $724.68
- Potential profit
- $134.14
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$10.94
No position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $612.34
- Potential payout
- $653.16
- Potential profit
- $40.82
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$20.55
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396.25
- Potential profit
- $396.25
- User PnL
- -$95.1
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $325.17
- Potential payout
- $344.1
- Potential profit
- $18.93
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $25.81
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $307.11
- Potential payout
- $309.12
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- User PnL
- $7.11
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $303.83
- Potential payout
- $306.12
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $296.79
- Potential payout
- $306.12
- Potential profit
- $9.34
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $267.25
- Potential payout
- $268.19
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- User PnL
- $7.96
Yes position
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $259.38
- Potential profit
- $259.38
- User PnL
- -$62.25
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $201.96
- Potential payout
- $205.97
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $199.08
- Potential payout
- $204.92
- Potential profit
- $5.84
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $78
- Potential payout
- $112.25
- Potential profit
- $34.25
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$11.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Nemesis position
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
TYLOO position
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $810.7
Rodrigo Pacheco position
San Luis Potosi: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Luka Pavlovic
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.98
Alex Martinez position
Menorca: Valentin Royer vs Alex Martinez
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.64
No position
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-04-02?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.41
BESTIA position
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.84
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas position
LoL: RMD Gaming vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.16
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.52
7REX position
LoL: 7REX vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.62
No position
Will Bolivia win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.22
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.8
Sofia Kenin position
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Sofia Kenin
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.74
Estral Esports position
LoL: Estral Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.09
Yakult Brothers position
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.5
Over position
Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.57
Trace Esports position
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.1
Gen.G Global Academy position
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.18
Just Players position
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.59
Gen.G Global Academy position
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffs
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.38
Nongshim Red Force position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.94
Rinky Hijikata position
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rinky Hijikata
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.29
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.35
Under position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.08
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 97.1% 205.97 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 97.1% 50.7 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 97.1% 106.42 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 96.9% 82.9 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 96.9% 206.4 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 96.7% 206.75 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 80% 98.37 shares
- Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 24% 396.25 shares
- Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes 51% 156.96 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.4% 1,285.42 shares
- Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 99% 61.32 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 4% 60.23 shares