Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $539.46
- Potential payout
- $599.4
- Potential profit
- $59.94
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $12.55
Polymarket Trader
humbleBaker
0x1237d0dbe4ea22337bf82bc3fb36e81b708306af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.61K
- Realized PnL
- $6.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $396.59
- Potential payout
- $416.37
- Potential profit
- $19.78
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $32.27
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $221.94
- Potential payout
- $274
- Potential profit
- $52.06
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $229.27
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $14.63
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $77.5
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$33.5
No position
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $65.25
- Potential payout
- $72.91
- Potential profit
- $7.66
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.14
N
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $52.15
- Potential payout
- $58.6
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.9%
- Current value
- $42.27
- Potential payout
- $57.2
- Potential profit
- $14.93
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$11.67
No position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $44.4
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.77
No position
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $271.24
Yes position
Will Xi visit the US before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $220.34
No position
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.18
Yes position
UK strike on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $195.34
Yes position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.11
No position
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.01
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?
Ends Aug 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.79
Yes position
Jony Ive out at OpenAI before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $149.48
Y
Yes position
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.4
N
No position
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.81
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.28
Yes position
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.58
Kia Tigers position
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. KT Wiz
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.41
No position
Will Chase Infiniti be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.66
No position
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.23
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.18
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.51
Yes position
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.5
Yes position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.04
Y
Yes position
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.62
No position
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 19% 370 shares
- Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 81.1% 370 shares
- Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Yes 33.8% 25.71 shares
- Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 19% 119.99 shares
- Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No 85.1% 59.3 shares
- Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.4% 0.3 shares
- Will there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 160 shares
- Will Julian Alvarez score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.2% 71.4 shares
- Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 19 shares
- Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No 5.1% 49 shares
- President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?No 8% 90.9 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?Yes 14% 252.6 shares