No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $263.94
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$25.93
Polymarket Trader
ewaja
0x12448089119dcce27fbab262437ed53e4b0015da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $263.94
- Realized PnL
- $399.79
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $593.79
- Potential profit
- $593.79
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.12
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $18.75
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$36.71
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.25
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.33
Yes position
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.59
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 22.5% 1,287.5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 4,125 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 0.1% 10,624.06 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 3,125 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 2.8% 10,755.63 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 1.7% 9,353.33 shares
- Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.8% 593.79 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 7.7% 9,353.34 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 22,870 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 42,090 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown 3% 112.3 shares