Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $220.59
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Polymarket Trader
Micaelia
@398hwOSydCasjew
0x12467a56ed6cb3947aa80961c17abbda05bbf43b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.43K
- Realized PnL
- $37.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $375
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Cap FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $62.44
- Potential payout
- $62.44
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.62
- Potential profit
- $53.62
- User PnL
- -$11.26
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.97
- Potential profit
- $26.97
- User PnL
- -$21.5
Yes position
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.42
- Potential profit
- $22.42
- User PnL
- -$15
Y
Yes position
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $15.57
- Potential payout
- $17.02
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Lakers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cap FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 99.3% 62.44 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86.1% 1,575.66 shares
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes 94% 17.02 shares
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.2% 1,400.8 shares
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1,400.81 shares
- Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?Yes 66.9% 22.42 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 83.6% 32.9 shares
- Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1,418.51 shares
- Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?Yes 91% 25.27 shares
- Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.4% 1,418.51 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.5% 1,425.7 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 98.9% 15.17 shares